Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000632 0.000718 0.000808 0.000911 0.001024 0.001144 0.001281
2025-12-21 0.000488 0.000604 0.000736 0.000895 0.001080 0.001289 0.001540
2025-12-28 0.000428 0.000562 0.000720 0.000919 0.001160 0.001440 0.001789
2026-01-04 0.000378 0.000523 0.000701 0.000933 0.001223 0.001570 0.002012
2026-01-11 0.000330 0.000480 0.000670 0.000925 0.001254 0.001657 0.002184
2026-01-18 0.000290 0.000441 0.000640 0.000914 0.001277 0.001733 0.002340
2026-01-25 0.000263 0.000417 0.000626 0.000923 0.001324 0.001837 0.002532
2026-02-01 0.000238 0.000393 0.000610 0.000925 0.001360 0.001927 0.002708
2026-02-08 0.000207 0.000357 0.000574 0.000896 0.001352 0.001957 0.002805
2026-02-15 0.000182 0.000327 0.000543 0.000873 0.001348 0.001992 0.002907
2026-02-22 0.000164 0.000308 0.000526 0.000868 0.001370 0.002059 0.003053
2026-03-01 0.000150 0.000292 0.000514 0.000867 0.001396 0.002134 0.003210
2026-03-08 0.000135 0.000273 0.000495 0.000858 0.001409 0.002190 0.003344
2026-03-15 0.000120 0.000254 0.000475 0.000843 0.001415 0.002236 0.003464
2026-03-22 0.000115 0.000250 0.000478 0.000866 0.001476 0.002362 0.003701
2026-03-29 0.000107 0.000242 0.000476 0.000880 0.001523 0.002468 0.003910
2026-04-05 0.000097 0.000229 0.000462 0.000872 0.001538 0.002527 0.004052
2026-04-12 0.000088 0.000215 0.000446 0.000862 0.001546 0.002576 0.004181
2026-04-19 0.000082 0.000208 0.000442 0.000870 0.001584 0.002670 0.004377
2026-04-26 0.000076 0.000199 0.000435 0.000872 0.001612 0.002749 0.004552
2026-05-03 0.000067 0.000183 0.000411 0.000845 0.001590 0.002751 0.004612
2026-05-10 0.000059 0.000169 0.000391 0.000822 0.001576 0.002764 0.004687
2026-05-17 0.000054 0.000160 0.000381 0.000818 0.001591 0.002822 0.004832